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Bitcoin has "plenty of fuel" to get it to $40,000, analysis argues, as BTC price stares down the weekly and monthly candle close. Bitcoin (BTC) surfed $34,000 at the Oct. 27 Wall Street open as attention turned to BTC price performance against macro assets. BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView Bitcoin range faces weekly, monthly close Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD holding steady, preserving its early-week gains. The largest cryptocurrency avoided significant volatility as the weekly and monthly closes — a key moment for the October uptrend — drew ever nearer. “I think Bitcoin will hang around this range for some time,” popular trader Daan Crypto Trades told X subscribers in one of several posts on the day. “Roughly $33-35K is what I'm looking at as a range. Eyes on potential sweeps of any of these levels for a quick trade.” BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X Daan nonetheless noted that open interest (OI) had r...

Certain analysts suggest that the narrowing of GBTC’s discount can be attributed to investors factoring in the possibility of the SEC granting approval to several pending spot Bitcoin ETF applications. Grayscale’s Bitcoin investment vehicle, known as Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), is presently trading at its most meager discount in nearly two years. This narrowing of the discount coincides with the gradual progress of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) towards potential approval within the United States. According to the latest data from YCharts, as of October 13, GBTC ’s discount in relation to Bitcoin’s net asset value (NAV) has dwindled to 15.87%. Discount to NAV is a percentage-based metric that quantifies how much a mutual fund or ETF is trading below its net asset value. It serves as an indicator to gauge the deviation between a security’s trading price and its true intrinsic value. Data reveals that the discount associated with GBTC comm...

Bitcoin sales by FTX come to light as part of the SBF trial, as one prediction suggests that they stopped the BTC price from hitting $100,000. Bitcoin (BTC) failed to hit $100,000 during the 2021 bull market because defunct exchange FTX kept selling BTC, Analysis claims. In an X post on Oct. 12, Joe Burnett, senior product marketing manager at Bitcoin financial services firm Unchained, joined voices arguing that FTX executives suppressed BTC price strength. FTX testimony reveals mass BTC selling As the trial of former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried, known as SBF, continues, new testimony paints a picture of market manipulation. This week, Caroline Ellison, former CEO of affiliated firm Alameda Research, reportedly told the court that Bankman-Fried asked her to sell BTC should spot price breach $20,000. This was done using FTX customer funds, which neither had the right to deploy. AUSA: What are these? Ellison: Notes from a conversation with Sam. I wrote, keep selling BTC if its over $20...

KuCoin (KCS) has emerged as one of the top gainers in the last 24 hours, with an 18% price surge. Meanwhile, the global crypto markets begin a slow recovery following the bloodbath triggered by the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent enforcement actions against market participants. The price of bitcoin (BTC), ethereum  (ETH), and other crypto currencies have posted decent gains in the last 24 hours, suggesting investor confidence may gradually return to the space following the crazy bloodbaths witnessed in recent weeks. Gary Gensler’s SEC took legal actions against Changpeng Zhao’s Binance and Coinbase earlier this month, triggering renewed fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) across the industry. However, BTC and altcoins are now showing signs of recovery, a resurgence partly attributable to BlackRock’s impending launch of its bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). BlackRock is one of the world’s largest asset management firms, with a massive $9 trillion in assets...

Traders say the record-low number of BTC held on exchanges is a bull signal, but data suggests otherwise. Crypto analysts on X (the social media platform formerly known as Twitter) and in YouTube interviews have been abuzz with talk about the trend of Bitcoin leaving centralized exchanges. On Aug. 29, the quantity of Bitcoin (BTC) held within exchanges saw a decline, reaching its lowest point since January 2018. While various factors might underlie this movement, experts analyzing blockchain data often interpret the shift as a positive indicator. Traders are now questioning what might have been causing Bitcoin’s inability to break above $31,000 since this price action doesn’t align with their view that fewer coins on exchanges is bullish for the BTC price. The perspective on the decline of Bitcoin held at centralized exchanges stems from the notion that when traders withdraw their coins, it signals a bullish sentiment. This is typically associated with a strategy of holding assets in...

This week’s episode of Market Talks discusses why 2024 could be bullish for the crypto industry and if crypto has weathered the storm. This week’s episode of Cointelegraph’s Market Talks welcomes Huf, the founder of Pear Protocol, a new decentralized exchange launching on Arbitrum in 2023. Huf worked as an equity derivatives trader for various investment banks for over a decade before entering the decentralized finance industry in 2019. He is often quoted in various news outlets for his views on the markets, which he shares in real time via his X (formerly Twitter) profile. The show kicks off with Huf’s views on the current crypto market. Is it in need of a new stimulus and new money? Is it a closed system with the same money rotating from one protocol to the next or one blockchain to another? Is that the reason for such record-low volatility?  Do narratives drive the current crypto market? If so, how can a trader or investor make the right decisions based on those narratives? Huf ...

Bitcoin almost breaks down from its sideways construction in place for months, and Bitcoin bulls are struggling to prop up the market. Bitcoin (BTC) targeted two-month lows on Aug. 17 as United States inflation returned to spook cryptocurrencymarkets. BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView BTC price teases exit from months-long corridor Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed the lowest BTC price levels since June 21 as BTC/USD wicked to $28,300. The downside came after the United States Federal Reserve published the minutes of its July meeting to discuss future monetary policy. Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) revealed concerns that inflation might remain elevated without further interest rate hikes — something risk assets did not wish to see going forward. “Participants discussed several risk-management considerations that could bear on future policy decisions,” the minutes read.  “With inflation still well above the Committee's longe...

Bitcoin traders are particularly interested in the short-term holder cost basis as a potential BTC price support level. Bitcoin (BTC) shed 2% into the start of August as traders’ expectations of further downside slowly came true.  BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView Bitcoin short-term holder breakeven point in focus Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price trajectory leaning lower at the July monthly close. Volatility was already anticipated, and BTC/USD did not disappoint after a week of barely any movement whatsoever. Bulls, however, were left in the cold. For popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital, the close price was significant, but demanded that buyers now step in to protect the trend. Commenting on a chart showing relevant levels and Bitcoin’s potential moves, he flagged $29,250 as the line in the sand. “Instead of BTC Monthly Closing above the ~$29250 level (black)... $BTC printed a Monthly Close marginally below the ~$29250 level. BTC nee...

Bitcoin is at the pivotal 50-day SMA support and a drop below this level could result in accelerated selling in BTC and altcoins. Bitcoin (BTC) plunged to $29,000 on July 24, signaling that bears are trying to seize control. It looks like the failure to hold on to the higher levels may have tempted short-term bulls to book profits and aggressive bears to initiate short positions. Although the near term looks bearish, long-term investors remain unfazed and they continue to hold on to their positions. Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder Supply made a new high of 14.52 million Bitcoin, “equivalent to 75% of the circulating supply.” Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360 While the cryptocurrency markets have turned soft in the near term, the United States equities markets remain on a strong footing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen for ten straight days, its longest streak since 2017. However, things could change this week with a slew of key ea...

BTC price performance is getting market participants worried in the short term, but the signs of wider Bitcoin accumulation are there. Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week above $30,000 but heading nowhere as the multi-month trading range refuses to shift. BTC price action is giving traders little more than a frustrating sense of deja vu — and they are now wondering what it could take to change the trend. It may in fact be more accurate to say that on low timeframes, a trend is exactly what Bitcoin lacks. The largest cryptocurrency has spent weeks bounding between upside and downside liquidity pockets without deciding whether bulls or bears will ultimately win. This struggle continues to play out with predictable regularity, and nothing — not macroeconomic data prints, institutional involvement or else — has been able to switch things up. With that in mind, it may not be all that problematic that the coming week offers little in terms of data-driven risk asset catalysts from the United S...

Bitcoin mining stocks have been on a triple-digit-tear in 2023, but an uptick in BTC sent to exchanges hints at waning momentum. Bitcoin mining companies outperformed BTC price by a huge margin amid the recent bullish price action in the top cryptocurrency. The average year-to-date gains in 2023 across the stock s of top nine public Bitcoin mining firms by market capitalization stood at 257.14%. The figure is almost three times higher than BTC’s gain in the same period. The higher gains represent the leveraged beta effect that mining stocks enjoy. Leveraged beta suggests that during Bitcoin upside, these stocks outperform. Whereas, when Bitcoin slumps, they face deeper downside risk. Due to a high levered beta, Bitcoin’s price performance will remain a crucial factor in deter mining the direction of mining stock s. The trends within the mining sector show that miners are positioning themselves for the long-term by buying more machines. However, they have yet to exhibit accumulation...

The 5-year U.S. Treasury yield reached its highest level in 3 months, but the typical inverse correlation-based price action with Bitcoin might not work this time. United States Government bonds, or Treasurys, have a tremendous influence across all tradeable markets, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH). In that sense, risk calculation in finance is relative, so every loan, mortgage and even cryptocurrency derivatives depend on the cost of capital attributed to U.S. dollars. Assuming the worst-case scenario of the U.S. government eventually defaulting on its own debt, what happens to the families, businesses and countries holding those bonds? The lack of interest debt payments would likely cause a global shortage of U.S. dollars, triggering a cascading effect. But, even if that scenario comes to fruition, history shows us that cryptocurrencies may work as a hedge during periods of uncertainty. For instance, Bitcoin vastly outperformed traditional wealth preservation assets during t...

U.S. stock markets hit year-to-date highs, the Fed pauses rate hikes, Binance.US and the SEC reach an agreement, but data shows Bitcoin bulls remain somewhat skittish. After a momentary retest of the $25,000 support on June 15, Bitcoin (BTC) gained 6.5% as bulls successfully defended the $26,300 level. Despite this, the general sentiment remains slightly bearish as the cryptocurrency has declined by 12.7% in two months. The dismissal of Binance.US's temporary restraining order by United States district court Judge Amy Berman Jackson is somewhat related to investors’ sentiment improving. On June 16, the exchange reportedly reached an agreement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), avoiding the freeze of its assets. On a longer timeframe, the global regulatory environment has been extremely harmful to cryptocurrency prices. Besides the SEC trying to unilaterally label exactly which altcoins it views as securities and litigating with the two leading global exchanges...

Market observers will closely watch the United States CPI data and the Fed’s policy decision to provide direction to the stock and crypto markets. After the tough sell-off seen in the past week, the cryptocurrency markets will be looking for some support from the macroeconomic data this week. The all-important United States Consumer Price Index report on June 13 will be followed up by the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on June 14.  Both these events could trigger a sharp response from equities and crypto traders. While a knee-jerk reaction is expected, it will be interesting to note if there is any follow-up to it. Traders may remain cautious as market volatility is likely to pick up over the next few days. Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360 Although the lawsuit by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Binance and Coinbase has weakened sentiment, Bitcoin (BTC) whales are using this opportunity to increase their holdings. Behavior analytics ...